FanGraphs has posted their projected standings and preseason playoff probabilities for the 2015 season. Their model is based on Steamer & ZiPS projections as well as their team depth charts, ultimately simulating the season 10,000 times and observing the results.
Last year, they accurately projected the final NL Central standings…
…as well as the NL Wild Card matchup, giving the Pirates and Giants the best preseason odds for the do-or-die game.
So, here’s what the numbers say for 2015: